The World of Gold, the US Dollar, and Debt: A Reassessment of Balance Sheets

The dollar system relies on future discounting, while AI reshapes balance sheets, constraining growth by physical resources, posing challenges to the dollar. Gold serves as a debt-free asset for hedging, but it is not an eternal answer.

The World of Gold, the US Dollar, and Debt: A Reassessment of Balance Sheets

1 hour ago

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Polymarket starts charging fees, behind which is a calm game of regulation, survival, and timing.

It's not about cutting users; after the CFTC issued licenses, the first compliant prediction market in Web3 has begun to settle the "consensus tax."

Polymarket starts charging fees, behind which is a calm game of regulation, survival, and timing.

2 hours ago

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393

Prediction Markets: Concepts, Mechanisms, and Arbitrage Strategies

1. What is a prediction market? First, let's clarify a concept: a prediction market is not gambling, but rather a probability forecast of upcoming events. It is a market mechanism based on trading future event outcomes. Essentially, it is a tool that uses collective intelligence to predict the probability of uncertain events occurring. Participants express their views on the outcomes of events by buying and selling "contracts," the value of which ultimately depends on whether the event occurs or what the outcome is. The focus is on information aggregation and prediction accuracy. In short, a prediction market is similar to trading "the outcomes of future events." Participants are not buying stocks, but rather trading on events...

Prediction Markets: Concepts, Mechanisms, and Arbitrage Strategies

2 hours ago

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194

What are the most profitable CEOs in the cryptocurrency industry doing right now?

"I hope for financial inclusion, allowing 536 million people to access the dollar system, which is a concern for both parties."

What are the most profitable CEOs in the cryptocurrency industry doing right now?

2 hours ago

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556

Opinion: Moltbook is the most interesting place on the internet right now.

In-depth observation and commentary on OpenClaw (formerly known as Clawdbot/Moltbot) and its ecosystem.

Opinion: Moltbook is the most interesting place on the internet right now.

3 hours ago

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204

Mass-producing Palantir, 58-year-old Peter Thiel wants to profit from war.

Are the financial capitalists of Manhattan really willing to sacrifice their financial scepters for the workers of the Rust Belt?

Mass-producing Palantir, 58-year-old Peter Thiel wants to profit from war.

3 hours ago

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Dialogue with ClawdBot Founder: AI is a lever, not a substitute.

"Programming languages are no longer important; what matters is my engineering mindset."

Dialogue with ClawdBot Founder: AI is a lever, not a substitute.

3 hours ago

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Key market information on February 2nd, how much did you miss?

1. On-chain funds: Today, $122.5M flowed into Base; $102.4M flowed out of Ethereum. 2. Maximum price fluctuation: $UAI, $I'm coming. 3. Top news: The funding rates on trading platforms indicate a highly bearish market, with mainstream cryptocurrencies showing negative values.

Key market information on February 2nd, how much did you miss?

4 hours ago

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The prediction market is active and has reached a historical high, significant events worth paying attention to in leading projects are all here.

Original | Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina) Author | Asher (@Asher_0210) Although the market plummeted last weekend, the number of trades in the prediction market reached an all-time high. According to Dune data, the number of trades in the prediction market last week reached 26.39 million, with Polymarket leading at 13.34 million trades; Kalshi ranked second with 11.88 million trades; Opinion had 379,300 trades, ranking...

The prediction market is active and has reached a historical high, significant events worth paying attention to in leading projects are all here.

4 hours ago

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CITIC Construction Investment: Short-term adjustments do not change the spring market trend, "Technology + Resources" remains the main line.

Despite the recent profit-taking in "weak dollar trades" triggered by the nomination of the Federal Reserve Chairman (expectations of Walsh taking office), which has caused a global shock in gold and silver prices and a sell-off in broad-based ETFs in the A-shares market, the market is facing short-term correction pressure, but this will not end the "spring rally."

CITIC Construction Investment: Short-term adjustments do not change the spring market trend, "Technology + Resources" remains the main line.

4 hours ago

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214

The excitement belongs to the "Epsteins," while Saylor just wants to hoard coins.

The man who was deemed too boring has avoided the biggest scandal in history.

The excitement belongs to the "Epsteins," while Saylor just wants to hoard coins.

5 hours ago

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410

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