Trump hopes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, while Polymarket predicts a 99% probability that the January interest rate will remain unchanged. Rick Rieder is seen as a strong candidate for the Federal Reserve chair. Gold has first broken through $5,150 per ounce. The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission has signed a memorandum of cooperation on digital asset regulation with the UAE.

While Circle\\\'s USDC has operated without a \\\"credible domestic competitor,\\\" Tether\\\'s USAT has the potential to shake up the landscape, analysts said.

The asset manager argued that without federal legislation, the industry has three years to become indispensable before political winds potentially shift.

As Trump mulls the next leader of the U.S. Federal Reserve, the BlackRock executive has caught a surge of online wagers, and he\\\'d bring a pro-crypto view.

Original Title: The Microstructure of Wealth Transfer in Prediction Markets Original Author: Jonathan Becker Original Translation: SpecialistXBT, BlockBeats Editor's Note: The author provides a detailed analysis of how the irrational preferences of retail traders between "long-shot outcomes" and "certain outcomes" contribute to the emergence of the "optimism tax." This is not only a hardcore analysis of market microstructure but also relevant for every participant in prediction markets...

Original | Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina) Author | Wenser (@wenser 2010) After submitting applications for stock tokenization trading on Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange, the largest cryptocurrency exchange, Binance, recently sounded the "counterattack horn from CeFi to TradFi." On January 24, a Binance spokesperson stated that they are "exploring the relaunch of stock tokens"; two days later, Binance officially announced that "it will launch perpetual contracts for Tesla (TSLA) stocks on January 28, with a maximum support of 5 ...

Volatility, historical timing, and relative value signals raise questions around a potential blow off top for silver.

Original Title: Silver Moon Original Author: @abcampbell, Ex Bridgewater Original Translation: SpecialistXBT, BlockBeats Editor's Note: This article analyzes how irreversible industrial demand, rigid supply bottlenecks, and strategic capital flows have become the driving forces behind the surge in silver prices, while calmly pointing out potential risks such as the rebound of the dollar and technological substitutes, providing investors with a "weather vane" to observe the true strength and weakness of the market. The following is the original content: Since our last discussion on silver...

Original author: Pickle Cat (X: @0xPickleCati) I bought my first Bitcoin in 2013. As an old hand who has lived through more than a decade of cycles until 2026, I have seen this market bring people to life and death in a thousand different ways. I have found that over this long period, there seems to be an undeniable iron law: that is, in this circle, the definition of "winning" is never about how much money you made. Everyone who has come into contact with this circle has at least made money once, no matter how inexperienced they are, no matter how small their capital is, they...

1. Preface Every once in a while, the blockchain community reignites a major discussion about "decentralization": some are still defending the ideal, some have already given up and say this has always been a false proposition, while others have long turned to a pragmatic route focused on performance, profitability, and regulatory friendliness. Yet, we have forgotten why we set out on this path. But I still feel that we have not truly understood one question: when we say "decentralization," what exactly are we avoiding? What kind of forces are resisting its move towards centralization, and what kind of logic allows it to continuously self-correct? In the past few years, I have observed...

The S&P 500 index futures fell nearly 1% at the open before slowly recovering, with market attention focused on the upcoming earnings reports from four of the "Tech Giants"—Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, and Apple. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve will hold its first interest rate meeting of the year, and the cryptocurrency market is also experiencing fluctuations, with gold prices soaring above $5,000 per ounce, while Bitcoin remains stagnant around $87,000. The current valuation of the S&P index has reached 22 times future earnings, significantly higher than the long-term平

In the past week, the U.S. federal government has once again edged toward a "shutdown." According to data from the blockchain prediction market Polymarket, traders have assessed the probability of the government entering a shutdown before January 31 to have surged from less than 10% in mid-month to over 80%. As the deadline enters a 72-hour countdown, the intense standoff between the two parties on Capitol Hill could not only halt government services but also trigger a ripple effect impacting the economy, people's livelihoods, and other key legislative agendas.

Original author: Ignas Original translation: Luffy, Foresight News Everyone has felt it: the enthusiasm in the crypto market is waning, with a significant decrease in new token issuances and industry announcements. Your Twitter timeline has become quiet, with AI-related posts and eye-catching content dominating the mainstream. But is all of this real, or just a matter of emotional perception? Looking at the data reveals: this is the true state of the market. However, the truth behind it is far more worthy of exploration than the conclusion that "cryptocurrency is dying." Let's first look at the changes in the number of active developers across different types...