The market stabilized and rebounded after a nearly 30% correction by the end of 2025, but a new round of offensive and defensive battles has quietly begun near the 365-day moving average. Bitcoin has risen 21% since November 21, but has not yet successfully reclaimed the key 365-day moving average. This is strikingly similar to its performance during the 2022 bear market—when Bitcoin also rebounded after breaking below that average, only to be blocked and restart its downward trend as it approached. The narrative of Bitcoin's "four-year halving cycle" is facing widespread scrutiny from institutional researchers.

As the Iranian public frantically transfers Bitcoin into personal wallets due to the currency collapse, Wall Street is preparing for a surge of over 100 cryptocurrency ETFs by 2026. These two seemingly unrelated phenomena are together illustrating a watershed moment in Bitcoin's evolution from an underground financial tool to a mainstream safe-haven asset. "The surge in Bitcoin withdrawals from local exchanges in Iran to unassigned personal wallets indicates that during the protests, Iranians are acquiring and controlling Bitcoin at a pace far exceeding previous times." Blockchain

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In the East 8 Time Zone this week, as the implied volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum has cumulatively decreased by about **18-25 volatility points**, the price movement in the crypto market is undergoing substantial changes. The previously frequent large unilateral trends and intense tug-of-war have significantly reduced in the current environment, with the market showing more signs of narrow and repeated fluctuations. In this low-volatility framework, traditional directional strategies that rely on high leverage and chasing prices are beginning to face a dual challenge of declining expected returns and worsening risk-reward ratios.

This week (from January 19 to January 23), the global political and economic stage, along with the cryptocurrency market, will witness a series of key events, from Trump's return to the Davos Forum, to the release of inflation data that the Federal Reserve is paying attention to, as well as token splits, airdrops, and auctions within the crypto industry, making it quite an eventful week. Below is a summary of the daily news highlights for you.

On January 19, 2026 (UTC+8), a newly created on-chain address named **GamblingRuinsLives** placed a bet of **$53,700** on the gamble that "Trump will obtain/acquire Greenland before 2027." At the same time this extreme bet appeared in the prediction market, Bitcoin's market value evaporated by hundreds of millions of dollars in a sudden crash, causing the corresponding price prediction probabilities to swing dramatically, making the entire scene absurd and dramatic. On one side is the reality...

On January 19, 2026, at 8:00 AM UTC+8, the cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp flash crash linked to global risk assets. Major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, along with most altcoins, fell in sync, exhibiting characteristics of indiscriminate selling. BTC directly broke through the **$92,000** mark during the session, with a single-day decline exceeding **3%** at one point, triggering concentrated liquidations of on-chain and off-chain leverage within just a few hours. During this approximately four-hour window of rapid decline, a total of about **$750 million** in long positions were liquidated.

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On January 19, 2026, at 8:00 AM UTC+8, on-chain monitoring data showed that a single address accumulated over 3.32 million LINK in four months and withdrew another 404,000 LINK from the exchange within four hours on the same day, drawing market attention to its coin hoarding logic. During this time window, Bitcoin fell below the $92,000 mark, and high-beta altcoins experienced a collective sharp decline, with funds undergoing severe re-pricing between mainstream coins and small-cap high-risk assets. On one side, whales continued to accumulate chips.

Trump's statement "I want him to stay in his original position" caused the probability of Hassett's nomination as Federal Reserve Chairman in the prediction market to plummet from a high point to 15%, while the chances for hawkish candidate Walsh surged to over 60%. On January 16, 2026, during a public speech at the White House, U.S. President Trump addressed Kevin Hassett, the Director of the National Economic Council, saying, "In fact, I want you to stay in your place." This seemingly ordinary remark was quickly interpreted by the market as a clear political signal.

On Monday this week, in the East 8 Time Zone, the cryptocurrency market experienced a severe fluctuation akin to a "Black Monday." Bitcoin suddenly fell below the **$92,000** mark, with a short-term drop exceeding **3%**, quickly igniting panic across the entire market. Accompanied by the price crash, high-leverage funds were heavily squeezed, with approximately **$554 million** in liquidations occurring across the network in just the past **1 hour**, the vast majority of which were long positions being passively liquidated. Among retail investors and high-leverage speculators

This week in East Eight Time, statistics from January 12 to 16 Eastern Time show that multiple spot **SOL ETFs** in the U.S. market recorded a total net inflow of approximately **$46.88 million** in a single week, attracting simultaneous attention from the secondary market and institutional circles. During this period, three mainstream SOL spot ETFs exhibited markedly different performances in terms of capital flow, with leading products accelerating their capital inflow while laggards continued to face pressure, and the entire SOL spot ETF product line **

In this week's trading in the East 8 Time Zone, the leverage risk in the Ethereum derivatives market quickly converged, with prices repeatedly tugging in the range of approximately $3,100 to $3,300. Around this narrow range, long and short funds confronted each other through futures, stETH leverage structures, and large whale positions. The intertwining of high-leverage positions and potential liquidation risks amplified the market's sensitivity to every price fluctuation.