[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 63.7%] According to a report by Jinse Finance on June 23, based on CME 'FedWatch': the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 63.7%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 36.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by September is 26.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 52.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 21.4%.