Is the prediction market about "truth," or is it a "money laundering" ground for insider trading?

Prediction markets like Polymarket are popular for accurately predicting events, but the Maduro betting incident reveals that they may rely on insider information rather than truth discovery. The market is essentially a high-risk betting tool, disguised as a "truth machine," which raises regulatory and ethical crises.

Is the prediction market about "truth," or is it a "money laundering" ground for insider trading?

1 hour ago

0

189

AICoin Daily Report (January 19)

Tom Lee expects Bitcoin to reach a new high this year, with Ethereum performing even better. The TRUMP team transferred 381,000 TRUMP to Binance. Gold prices hit an all-time high. Large Bitcoin holders increased their holdings by 110,000 BTC. The staking scale of Ethereum reached $118.8 billion.

AICoin Daily Report (January 19)

1 hour ago

0

315

Congress Slams SEC’s Crypto Retreat — Oversight Concerns Raised by House Democrats

Lawmakers are pressing the SEC over a sudden pullback in crypto enforcement, warning that dropped cases and delayed actions risk harming investors, weakening market confidence, and signaling selective oversight as scrutiny of federal cr...

Congress Slams SEC’s Crypto Retreat — Oversight Concerns Raised by House Democrats

1 hour ago

0

531

Weekly Prediction Market Volume Skyrockets as Several Competitors Square Off

In the final week of 2025, weekly prediction market notional volume cleared $5.3 billion, and the opening week of 2026 pulled the same trick—once again topping $5 billion and etching fresh records into the sector’s ledger.

Weekly Prediction Market Volume Skyrockets as Several Competitors Square Off

6 hours ago

0

6235

Here\\\'s why Coinbase and other companies soured on major crypto bill

Provisions addressing decentralized finance, SEC jurisdiction and authorities and — of course — stablecoin yield all alarmed industry participants.

Here\\\'s why Coinbase and other companies soured on major crypto bill

11 hours ago

0

7404

Bitcoin Nears $100K, Ordinals Boom, and More — Week in Review

Bitcoin Nears $100K, Ordinals Boom, RLUSD at LMAX, Institutional Crypto Shift, and more in this Week in Review.

Bitcoin Nears $100K, Ordinals Boom, and More — Week in Review

12 hours ago

0

7708

MicroStrategy Pushes BTC Rating: Corporate Holdings Now Have a Scale

This week, in the East 8 Time Zone, MicroStrategy launched a brand new **BTC Rating** indicator on the company's official website, further publicizing its Bitcoin asset allocation actions. According to existing public information, this indicator is defined as "the ratio of Bitcoin net reserves to the company's market value," presenting a single value that reflects the relative weight of Bitcoin exposure in the company's balance sheet. Compared to the previous practice of only disclosing "how much Bitcoin is held" on the website, this update is more focused.

MicroStrategy Pushes BTC Rating: Corporate Holdings Now Have a Scale

14 hours ago

0

7797

The prediction market does not predict the truth; it only rewards those who bet correctly.

The prediction market is not about discovering the truth, but about monetizing information asymmetry.

The prediction market does not predict the truth; it only rewards those who bet correctly.

18 hours ago

0

8122

Investing $200 million in MrBeast's company, top influencer MrBeast has become a big card for Tom Lee.

Wall Street analyst Tom Lee invested $200 million in MrBeast's company, exploring the integration of DeFi into financial service platforms. MrBeast has an annual revenue of $400 million but is cash-strapped and is building financial infrastructure.

Investing $200 million in MrBeast's company, top influencer MrBeast has become a big card for Tom Lee.

19 hours ago

0

8166

Must-Watch Next Week | Trump Returns to Davos After 6 Years; SBF's Ex-Girlfriend to Be Released 10 Months Early (1.19-1.25)

Next week's key preview: On January 19, Trump will return to Davos with "the largest American delegation in history" after six years; MANTRA plans to conduct a token split and code change on January 19; On January 20, former Alameda CEO Caroline Ellison will be released approximately 10 months early on January 21; The ZAMA token auction has been postponed to January 21 to 24; Solana Mobile opens SKR airdrop eligibility inquiries, January ...

Must-Watch Next Week | Trump Returns to Davos After 6 Years; SBF's Ex-Girlfriend to Be Released 10 Months Early (1.19-1.25)

21 hours ago

0

8295

Who is actually playing on Polymarket?

From discussing the U.S. elections to predicting Taylor Swift's relationships, and betting on short-term fluctuations in the crypto market, the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket has become a unique intersection of information and finance. The platform features both thrill-seeking retail investors and arbitrage bots that quietly profit using algorithms. As the platform's valuation skyrockets to $9 billion and it secures substantial funding, this ecosystem composed of diverse players is becoming increasingly complex. Who exactly is playing on Polymarket?

Who is actually playing on Polymarket?

23 hours ago

0

8330

Dialogue with Michael Saylor: Bitcoin Achieves Fundamental Victory, Strategy to Focus on Digital Credit

Bitcoin is the universal capital of the digital age, and the real progress in 2025 will be reflected in the adoption by institutions, credit markets, accounting standards, and banks, rather than in short-term price fluctuations.

Dialogue with Michael Saylor: Bitcoin Achieves Fundamental Victory, Strategy to Focus on Digital Credit

1 day ago

0

8359

View More