Prediction markets like Polymarket are popular for accurately predicting events, but the Maduro betting incident reveals that they may rely on insider information rather than truth discovery. The market is essentially a high-risk betting tool, disguised as a "truth machine," which raises regulatory and ethical crises.

Tom Lee expects Bitcoin to reach a new high this year, with Ethereum performing even better. The TRUMP team transferred 381,000 TRUMP to Binance. Gold prices hit an all-time high. Large Bitcoin holders increased their holdings by 110,000 BTC. The staking scale of Ethereum reached $118.8 billion.

Lawmakers are pressing the SEC over a sudden pullback in crypto enforcement, warning that dropped cases and delayed actions risk harming investors, weakening market confidence, and signaling selective oversight as scrutiny of federal cr...

In the final week of 2025, weekly prediction market notional volume cleared $5.3 billion, and the opening week of 2026 pulled the same trick—once again topping $5 billion and etching fresh records into the sector’s ledger.

Breaking news, Satoshi Nakamoto's genesis wallet has been hacked!

Provisions addressing decentralized finance, SEC jurisdiction and authorities and — of course — stablecoin yield all alarmed industry participants.

Bitcoin Nears $100K, Ordinals Boom, RLUSD at LMAX, Institutional Crypto Shift, and more in this Week in Review.

This week, in the East 8 Time Zone, MicroStrategy launched a brand new **BTC Rating** indicator on the company's official website, further publicizing its Bitcoin asset allocation actions. According to existing public information, this indicator is defined as "the ratio of Bitcoin net reserves to the company's market value," presenting a single value that reflects the relative weight of Bitcoin exposure in the company's balance sheet. Compared to the previous practice of only disclosing "how much Bitcoin is held" on the website, this update is more focused.

The prediction market is not about discovering the truth, but about monetizing information asymmetry.

Wall Street analyst Tom Lee invested $200 million in MrBeast's company, exploring the integration of DeFi into financial service platforms. MrBeast has an annual revenue of $400 million but is cash-strapped and is building financial infrastructure.

Next week's key preview: On January 19, Trump will return to Davos with "the largest American delegation in history" after six years; MANTRA plans to conduct a token split and code change on January 19; On January 20, former Alameda CEO Caroline Ellison will be released approximately 10 months early on January 21; The ZAMA token auction has been postponed to January 21 to 24; Solana Mobile opens SKR airdrop eligibility inquiries, January ...

From discussing the U.S. elections to predicting Taylor Swift's relationships, and betting on short-term fluctuations in the crypto market, the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket has become a unique intersection of information and finance. The platform features both thrill-seeking retail investors and arbitrage bots that quietly profit using algorithms. As the platform's valuation skyrockets to $9 billion and it secures substantial funding, this ecosystem composed of diverse players is becoming increasingly complex. Who exactly is playing on Polymarket?

Bitcoin is the universal capital of the digital age, and the real progress in 2025 will be reflected in the adoption by institutions, credit markets, accounting standards, and banks, rather than in short-term price fluctuations.