Feilong Daily | April 18, 2026 Is the war really coming to an end with the sharp drop in crude oil prices? Is the spring of the cryptocurrency market coming? The Iranian Foreign Minister stated that the strait will remain open during the ceasefire period. Trump also stated that the US Iran conflict will soon come to an end. Both sides are sending cooling signals. But it may be too early to judge the end of the war, and there are still several doubts at present: (1) The statements from both sides are completely inaccurate Trump said that Iran has agreed to all the conditions put forward by the United States, including the removal of enriched uranium. But Iranian state media immediately denied it, clearly stating that they never agreed to remove or transfer enriched uranium. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament directly retorted: Trump said seven propositions within an hour, all seven of which were false. (2) The opening of the strait does not mean a complete easing of the situation The current statement only indicates the opening of the ceasefire phase, and does not mean that a final ceasefire has been reached. The current ceasefire agreement will not expire until April 22nd. At the same time, US and Israeli ships are still prohibited from passing through, and the largest US aircraft carrier, the Ford, has just arrived in the Middle East. Iran says: If the United States continues to block, the strait will not continue to open. Both sides are cooling their mouths, but their hands are still ready to continue working hard at any time. Now the CNN US stock sentiment index has reached 68, and the market is in a greedy phase. Most people are betting on a easing of the situation. At this point, if any unexpected events occur in the future, the market is more likely to experience a rapid downward trend. So at this stage, I will maintain a wait-and-see attitude and wait until the two sides have truly aligned their views, or until the end of the month and the situation becomes further clear, before considering splitting the pie and HYPE in batches. I don't touch crude oil, there are too many variables and the risk is too high. The rebound of the pancake is not far from the top, and if it exceeds 80000 US dollars, you should pay attention to the risks!