On November 4, BTC rebounded from around 75000 to 81000. The market movement can be divided into two segments: the first half was driven by leveraged long positions increasing at low levels, while the second half mainly came from short covering. However, in the U.S. spot market and among on-chain whales, there has not yet been a buyer demand of similar magnitude, which indicates it is a mid-course rebound.

Distinguish between limit orders and market orders, and observe the order book in conjunction with AiCoin's major order tracking and large transaction indicators; it is necessary to identify false orders from instantaneous cancellations, focusing on whether large orders are genuinely executed, whether subsequent buy/sell orders can be sustained, and whether price pullbacks and closing can hold key positions. For cryptocurrencies with different liquidity, the criteria for judgment should also be adjusted accordingly.

BTC fluctuates and pulls back to explore phased layouts, cross-asset allocation, and risk control.

Compare the stablecoin wealth management activities of Binance, Bitget, and OKX, analyzing the configuration and yield differences of 100,000 USDT of idle funds.

From the three-day line death cross to the five-day line death cross, it already shows that this round of adjustment is more grueling than before. Whether the weekly line will produce a death cross next and whether the support at 76,000 can be held are signals that I will continue to monitor and observe.

Taking the historical chart of BTC and ETH on November 2, 2026, as an example, the price and volume signals are analyzed based on the core logic of "trading originates from market divergence," combined with the analysis of large orders and chip distribution for cross-validation. At the same time, the key points of volume and price observations corresponding to different stages of bull and bear markets are summarized. This is for educational analysis only and does not constitute trading advice.

Early warning is not complicated at all; essentially, it is about handing over the opportunity points we are focused on to the system for monitoring in advance.

The relationship between volume and price is divided into four combinations: increasing volume with rising prices, decreasing volume with rising prices, increasing volume with falling prices, and decreasing volume with falling prices. The same volume-price pattern appearing in different market positions has completely different meanings. Trading volume represents the degree of disagreement in the exchange of chips and cannot be used alone as a trading signal; it needs to be assessed in conjunction with price structure and market phase for comprehensive judgment.

Focus on central bank policies and BTC key support, emphasizing diversified allocation and rational trading.

Whether BTC can hold the $80,000 level depends on the verification of key support levels, the sustainability of ETF funds, spot buying, and signals from the Federal Reserve's policy.

Today let's talk about a weighted price and volume indicator: Qianlong Long-term Indicator LON. I mainly use it to observe recent capital trends and assist in trend judgment. It bears some resemblance to the MACD when loaded onto the K line, focusing on the zero axis, red and green bars, and the short and long dual lines. If the short line crosses above the long line below the zero axis, it can be regarded as a starting point for observing the bottom position. There are situations where the indicator signals may fail, and an importable version is attached at the end.

AiCoin's early warning feature supports various alert methods, including price alerts, volatile fluctuations, technical indicators, large orders from main players, on-chain transactions, trend lines, and arbitrage. It helps users timely capture key market changes, reduce monitoring time, and optimize trading strategies through historical alert reviews. However, the alerts only assist in decision-making, do not automatically place orders, and cannot guarantee trading profits.

As of October 22, 2026, after BTC rose and then fell back, both bulls and bears are contesting around the vicinity of 82,000 US dollars. The profitable addresses filtered by Hyperliquid are generally leaning bearish, but some capital has started to buy on dips; in the short term, attention should be focused on the support at 80,000 US dollars and resistance at 83,600 US dollars, combined with open interest, funding rates, and changes in large orders to make judgments.