帕尔 | 無極Infinity®|Sep 04, 2026 06:07
bitcoin:native Yesterday, I bought 7.23 ETF and pushed it to a new high.
Awesome.
Although it still hasn’t broken through 828 here and feels a bit like a triple top, I really don’t dare to go for a long short position now.
As long as there’s no black swan event, it’s basically sideways instead of dropping at this point.
In other words, the current market trend is signaling bullishness.
You can also see that liquidations are pretty calm right now.
Took a bite out of the 79-level degen bet, now it’s all about tonight’s non-farm payrolls.
If unemployment rises, the rate hike camp gains the upper hand, and we might see a pullback to 79-785.
If unemployment meets expectations, then the bulls will keep pushing, and prices will keep climbing.
But most likely, the non-farm data will be weak, though it’ll be interpreted as resilient. Employment is soft, but not weak enough to worry about a recession.
So CPI will keep the suspense going until FOMC concludes.
From a probability perspective, weak non-farm data is more likely, which means a short-term pullback is highly probable.
So, eyes on 79.
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink