Aaron Dishner|7月 15, 2026 03:27
BTC pumped 4.35% on Tuesday and printed a TBO close short, only the third of these bullish reversal signals since the start of July. Volume on the TBT based quote converter exceeded its moving average and on-balance volume is curling up, both good signs while RSI stays clear of overbought territory. July is up 10% so far and a push toward 69K to 70K still looks realistic as long as the chop continues to resolve higher.
Ethereum broke above its horizontal resistance levels with a 6% move and RSI hit 75.04, though Ethereum dominance smacked the top of its cloud with RSI at 85.73, a level last seen in March, which is historically a strong exit warning. Stablecoin dominance dropped 3.53% to a new local low, and once the slow line flattens out further, a drop to the bottom of the cloud would confirm the setup for cryptocurrency exits later in the cycle. Traders sitting on ETH profits may want to consider trailing stops up to the fast line rather than assuming the move continues unchecked.
DXY closed down 0.33% and is weakening against its cloud support while USDJPY remains strongly bullish despite early bearish divergence signals. S&P Futures pushed back above resistance even as RSI shows fading momentum on the weekly, and Hang Seng and KOSPI both show signs of a bullish reversal within otherwise choppy macro trends. Altcoin setups remain mixed, with several TBO close shorts printing on Monero, Sky, Pepe, ENA, Arbitrum and Virtual, while majors like Solana, Cardano and HBAR still look bearish into August and September.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 - Intro: BTC Prints TBO Close Short
04:01 - Ethereum Breaks Cloud Resistance
08:01 - Stablecoin & BTC/ETH Dominance
13:18 - Dollar Index, Euro & Yen
16:58 - S&P Futures, VIX, Hang Seng & Kospi
20:34 - Oil, Gold, Silver & Uranium
24:01 - Better Traders Club, TBO & AFX
27:51 - My Picks: Chainlink & POL
32:06 - My Picks: Decred, Canton & Pi Network
36:29 - My Picks: Morpho & Aerodrome
40:41 - My Picks: SPX6900 & Hyperliquid
43:58 - Your Picks: HBAR & Solana
49:00 - Your Picks: Rune & Quant
52:30 - Your Picks: Sui, Fartcoin & AMC
55:10 - Stocks: Oracle, IBM & Arm
59:10 - Stocks: Apple, Meta & MicroStrategy(Aaron Dishner)
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