Aaron Dishner
Aaron Dishner|May 13, 2026 03:21
Bitcoin is still strong bullish above the daily TBO cloud, but the warning signs are stacking up. The key level today is the TBO fast line around $79,240, which lines up with short-term support near $79,215 and last Friday's low around $79,181. A bounce there keeps the bullish structure alive, but a daily close below the fast line would flip BTC into bearish consolidation and likely open the door to a deeper move lower. Ethereum looks weaker than Bitcoin, with ETH already breaking below recent lows and ETHBTC confirming a TBO breakdown. RSI on ETHBTC pushed to a new extreme low, which supports the idea that Ethereum can keep underperforming if BTC weakens. Stablecoin dominance is also showing higher lows and is expected to push back above the cloud, while TOTALES.D and TOTALES are flashing bearish reversal warnings. The broader market still looks fragile. DXY tagged the fast line and moved back above overhead resistance, the euro printed a TBT bearish divergence, stocks remain very overextended, and the VIX is trying to move back toward its rejection zone. Oil may get one more push higher, but the larger gap-fill thesis remains bearish over time. Silver and copper are still showing strength, while uranium and BTC versus gold are flashing caution. In today's picks, BNB, CRO, INJ, FF, and PUMP had the more interesting bullish or dip-buy setups, while SOL, DOGE, PEPE, PENGU, MON, FARTCOIN, HYPE, ADA, LINK, ZEC, AVAX, TAO, MNT, ICP, ETC, ONDO, ALGO, BONK, VIRTUAL, UNI, and JUP all showed bearish warning signs or weakening structures. Viewer picks were mixed, with ZERO and AKT showing upside potential, BILL looking like a high-risk new-listing scalp, SPX and AAVE still holding some constructive structure, and stocks like CART and ORCL looking cleaner than most crypto charts. Chapters: 00:00 Bitcoin pullback and the key TBO fast line level 04:55 Ethereum weakness and RSI breakdown 07:24 ETHBTC bearish breakdown 09:36 Stablecoin dominance and red May-June thesis 11:12 TOTALES.D, OTHERS.D, and bearish divergence warnings 13:53 TOTALE50, TOTAL3ESBTC, and alt market cracks 16:11 DXY, euro, Dow, Nasdaq, FAANG, GameStop, and VIX 20:29 Oil, silver, copper, uranium, and BTC versus gold 24:47 TBO, Better Traders Journal, Kraken, Toobit, and chart requests 27:32 BNB, H, FF, CRO, INJ, and SOL 31:55 DOGE, PEPE, MORPHO, PENGU, MON, FARTCOIN, XRP, and HYPE 36:10 ADA, LINK, ZEC, AVAX, TAO, MNT, ICP, ETC, ONDO, ALGO, BONK, VIRTUAL, UNI, PUMP, and JUP 38:34 Viewer picks: ZERO, BILL, SPX, AAVE, AKT, RON, PLUME, ACHR, CART, MSFT, ORCL, and PYPL(Aaron Dishner)
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