*Walter Bloomberg|Apr 21, 2026 14:08
📊WARSH CONFIRMATION SEEN AS DELAYED
Prediction markets put only a 33% chance that Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Federal Reserve chair by May 15, when Jerome Powell’s term ends, according to Polymarket and Kalshi.
The delay risk stems from opposition by Senator Thom Tillis, who is blocking nominations pending a Justice Department probe into Powell.
Markets still expect eventual approval, with odds rising to 89% by July.
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedchairconfirmed/will-trumps-fed-chair-pick-be-confirmed/kxfedchairconfirmed?utm_source=walterbloomberg(*Walter Bloomberg)
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