Big cake strong resistance: 76000, multiple tests failed to break through Short term support: 73200, followed by 70500 At present, the box is oscillating, with a range amplitude of about 2000 points, A drop below 73200 on the right side is considered the end of the uptrend If it breaks through 76000, it may surge to the upper edge of the 79000 channel Lure the bulls, liquidate the bears, and experience another sharp drop Parallel highs usually break through, and only after breaking through do they truly rebound The probability of a direct drop before breaking through is extremely low More likely in the short term: first digest with slight fluctuations Breaking through parallel highs again → then rapidly changing and falling The new moon cycle is likely to decline over the past 12 months About 10 drops and 2 rises, with a winning rate of 80% -90% The new moon is approaching recently, and the probability of a decline has significantly increased Not chasing too much: The current situation is the 'final rise', with extremely high risk Waiting for false breakthrough at high altitude: high altitude before breakthrough but unable to stand firm When starting to decline, focus on low magnification medium to long term short positions