[Probability of Fed Raising Rates by 25 Basis Points in April Drops to Only 0.5%] BlockBeats news, on April 1, according to CME 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April has dropped to 0.5% (previously surged to 12.4% on March 23), making the likelihood of a rate hike almost negligible. The probability of maintaining the current rate is 99.5%.