Murphy
Murphy|Mar 04, 2026 04:51
Short-term swing signal — BRS is on the move! The method for using the BRS signal to catch rebounds is super simple: when BRS = 100, it’s a buy signal; when BRS returns to 0, it’s a sell signal. This forms a trading swing. BRS can’t stay at 100 or 0 forever, so there will inevitably be repeated fluctuations back and forth (see the reference for detailed explanation). Looking at historical data, from 2018 to 2022, there were 11 signal samples in total, with a success/failure ratio of 9:2. The overall historical success rate is about 81.8%, showing high effectiveness in historical samples. For example, on November 21, 2025, when BRS = 100, BTC was at $82,000. By January 15, 2026, when BRS returned to 0, BTC was at $97,000. That’s an example of a successful signal. On February 2, 2026, BRS hit 100 again, with BTC at $75,000. So, for this signal to be considered successful, BTC’s price must be at least higher than $75,000 when BRS returns to 0. After a full month, BRS is finally starting to move away from 100 and heading toward the 0 axis. Note: for long-term holders, you can ignore this. But for those looking to trade rebounds or reduce positions, keep an eye on this signal.
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