[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in March is 98%] Jin10 Data reported on February 25: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 2%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.0%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 15.9%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 83.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 42.7%.