星球日报|2月 20, 2026 13:18
[Market Expectations on Polymarket Show a 94% Probability of the Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in March]
Odaily Planet Daily News: Prediction market platform Polymarket indicates that as of March 18, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged at its March meeting is 94%, a significant increase compared to earlier. The probability of a '25 basis point rate cut' is approximately 5%, 'rate cut of more than 50 basis points' is less than 1%, and 'rate hike of more than 25 basis points' is also around 1%. The total trading volume for this contract is approximately $144 million. Market pricing reflects that traders generally expect short-term policy stability.
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