棋局|Jan 05, 2026 08:42
Domestic Bitcoin traders are starting to pull out.
USD exchange rate: 6.9688
USDT is currently at 6.87
Negative premium: 1.4%
If you have a Hong Kong bank card and a way to transfer funds back, you can make money through arbitrage.
But with increasingly strict foreign exchange controls on virtual currencies, if you're not physically overseas, proceed with caution.
Many U-cards have wear-and-tear costs of around 1-2%. When there's a negative premium, using U-cards becomes very cost-effective.
In the past, when people did arbitrage, the negative premium usually wouldn’t stay below 3% for long (a few weeks). Even at 2%, it would attract a lot of people to jump in.
This time seems different. Let’s wait and see if the negative premium reaches the 2-3% range. If it stays at a negative premium of 3% for a while, that could be a sign of systemic risk, and everyone should be cautious.
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