[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in January is 85.1%] CME 'FedWatch' data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January is 14.9%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 85.1%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by March is 51.2%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 42.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 5.9%.