九阿哥&薛蛮子
九阿哥&薛蛮子|Nov 12, 2025 09:24
Angel Investment vs Meme Investment vs ICO ——The logic of high risk is that the only goal is to 'earn' Many people see angel investment, Meme investment, and even ICO as different worlds: one is the orthodox gameplay of the venture capital circle, one is the speculative game of the cryptocurrency circle, and the other is the "wild path" that is being suppressed by regulation. But if you really understand the underlying logic of capital, you will find that they are actually the same thing - both are high-risk bets, betting on future growth, and the ultimate goal is only one: profit. --- 1、 Angel Investment: Early Beliefs in the Capital World Traditionally, angel investment is at the forefront of the capital system. Investors are betting on an "unformed" entrepreneur, a semi-finished product, or even just an idea. The usual investment is several hundred thousand to several million US dollars, in exchange for 5% to 20% equity. The logic is simple: the vast majority of projects will die, but once a unicorn is captured, the profits can cover a hundred failures. This is not charity, it's mathematics. Angel investors are not helping entrepreneurs, but using statistics to bet on probabilities and exchanging time for future compound interest. The key to the success of angel investment is the combination of "looking at people" and "looking at trends". Investment is based on whether the founder has execution ability, mindset, and vision; The trend is to see if this track can take off in the next three years. This is actually not fundamentally different from the later logic of the cryptocurrency industry - it's just different packaging, different regulation, and a more dignified storytelling. --- 2、 Meme Investment: Extreme Amplification Driven by Emotions Let's take a look at Meme Investment again. People in the cryptocurrency circle laugh at VCs for being slow, while VCs laugh at the cryptocurrency circle for being crazy, but both cannot do without "emotions". The core of Meme's investment is not technology, but narrative and dissemination speed. Dogecoin Pepe、Bonk、Cat、Shiba, The commonality of these coins is not project whitepapers, but the ability to quickly gather traffic, form consensus, and allow enough people to "voluntarily become buyers". In this game, the anchor of value is not financial statements, but the popularity of social networks. The stronger the emotion, the greater the short-term fluctuations; The greater the fluctuation, the greater the opportunity. Many people look down on Meme and think it's just speculation. But looking at it from a different perspective, aren't angel investors also gambling? Just one bet on human rationality, and the other bet on human irrationality. Meme investment is about treating emotions as assets for arbitrage. From a capital perspective, this is not degeneration, but evolution. Human nature always exists, and the investment that can utilize human nature is the most efficient speculation. --- 3、 ICO: The Grey Zone between Risk and Regulation ICO (Initial Coin Offering) was once the craziest stage in the crypto world. Anyone can send coins, tell stories, raise money, or run away. From a regulatory perspective, this is a breeding ground for financial fraud; From the perspective of capital, this is an experiment of capital freedom. ICO is essentially an extreme version of angel investing. In the angel round, investors can at least meet the founder and view a BP; In ICO, investors often don't even know who the founder is. The only things that exist are consensus and greed. This type of investment carries enormous risks, but in rare cases, it can also achieve historic returns. Ethereum, Binance, and Solana are all products of the ICO era. The early supporters of those projects traded hundreds of dollars for tens of millions of returns - a lever that is almost impossible to exist in the real world. So ICO is not a scam, it is an "unregulated form" of venture capital. The only difference is that angel investing is defined by institutions and rules, while ICO is driven by the market and desire. One relies on legal constraints to maintain trust, and the other relies on FOMO to maintain order. --- 4、 Risk and essence: both are 'betting on the future' Whether it's angels Meme、 Still ICO, the logical core is only two words: risk. Risks come from information asymmetry, emotional fluctuations, technological variables, and macro environment. The difference is that the risk of angel investment is controllable, while the risk of Meme and ICO is emotional. But capital does not exclude risk, because risk is the source of excess returns. If there is no risk, there will be no high return. Low risk means certainty, while high risk means freedom. And capital is always profit driven, it would rather fight to double in chaos than survive in stability. Truly mature investors will not reject any form. Angel investment is a bet on innovation; Meme investment is a bet on traffic; ICO is a bet on institutional boundaries. They may appear different on the surface, but in essence, they are both processes in which capital seeks asymmetric returns. --- 5、 Conclusion: The instinct of capital is always profit Whether you are an angel from Silicon Valley or a player in the cryptocurrency industry, The ultimate underlying logic is that the primary goal of venture capital is profitability. No one invests money for 'ideals', ideals are just the motivation to speak to others. The language of capital is always one - less investment, greater return. The story of angel investment is a lever of time; The story of Meme investment is a lever of emotions; The story of ICO is the leverage of the system. From this perspective, the three are actually a continuous spectrum: From rationality to irrationality, from equity to consensus, from long-term to instantaneous. But regardless of the form, they all point towards the same ultimate goal—— Make more money. Investment is not faith, but probability. It's not who is nobler, but who knows how to use rules, human nature, and time better. Capital does not distinguish between tradition and modernity, it only recognizes the rate of return. When you see through this, you will understand: Angel investment, Meme investment ICO, It's just different sides of the same coin. ——Barbarians talk about AI Manzi Reception Room Xue Manzi talks about AI, Bitcoin Finance, Investment Logic, Risks and Returns
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