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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 93.3%

金色财经
金色财经|Jul 09, 2025 22:10
According to a report by Golden Finance, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 93.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 6.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 31.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 64.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 4.5%.
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Timeline

Aug 08, 19:32【JP Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates】
Aug 08, 18:41【The market expects to cut 3 and 4 times by 2026】
Aug 08, 15:45【Economic cooling puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates】
Aug 08, 14:04【JPMorgan Chase changes Federal Reserve phone number, cuts interest rate in September】
Aug 08, 12:34【Canada's July employment data is poor】
Aug 08, 10:45【CPI data affects Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and cryptocurrency market】
Aug 08, 08:08【There is a serious deviation between the Federal Reserve and market interest rate pricing】
Aug 08, 07:09【Bitcoin is oversold in the short term or suggests the possibility of a rebound】
Aug 08, 01:12【Stephen Miran joins the Federal Reserve to increase pressure for interest rate cuts】
Aug 08, 00:31【Bitcoin rises after Trump's appointment】

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