飞凡
飞凡|Aug 08, 2025 10:46
The CPI data to be released next Tuesday should be the most important indicator This CPI directly affects whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. Of course, the reason has been mentioned many times before. If inflation is low, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates, and the US dollar will weaken, which is a great benefit for cryptocurrencies because there will be more money in the market. There are actually only two situations: 1. Data below expectations (good news): This indicates that inflation is under control, and high-risk and volatile coins (such as SOL ecology, RWA concept coins, and small second tier ecological tokens) will rise sharply first. If the data is similar to expectations, or slightly higher (bad news): then the cryptocurrency market is likely to first fall and then slowly stabilize. Let me share my operational experience. Generally, the sudden surge or drop in data is often caused by programmatic trading and bots, which can easily lead to fake actions. The real trend usually occurs 30 to 90 minutes later when the trend of US treasury bond bonds and the US dollar is clear. In addition, if the data is good, but the dollar is stronger and the yield of treasury bond bonds is rising instead, it indicates that there are other negative positions in the market and it is necessary to stop losses as soon as possible.
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