Original Source: Olimpio X Account

Author: Olimpio

Translation: 1912212.eth, Foresight News

The so-called token economics is outdated. With an expected 1 billion gold points and 100 trillion regular points, how much are they worth?

What is the valuation of BLAST FDV, gold points, and the estimated airdrop?

Recap: Blast announced a total token supply of 100 billion, with 17% allocated for S1 airdrop, where gold points account for 7% of the airdrop, points account for 7%, and Blur farmers account for 3%.

Therefore, gold point holders will receive 7 billion BLAST tokens, just like regular point holders.

We do not yet know the official supply of regular points and gold points, but some estimate the gold points to be between 80 million and 100 million (including recommendations).

In a pessimistic scenario, let's assume the supply of gold points is 100 million.

So, each gold point is equivalent to 70 BLAST tokens.

Blast has shown the relationship between gold points and regular points, where 20,483 gold points are equivalent to 2,224,255,462 regular points.

This means that 1 gold point is equivalent to 108,590 regular points.

If we assume the total gold point supply to be 100 million, we can estimate the total supply of regular points to be 10.8 trillion.

Regular points can obtain 7 billion tokens, so each regular point is approximately 0.00064463 BLAST, which means 100,000 regular points = 64.46 BLAST.

Now, in a (pessimistic) estimate, 1 gold point = 70 BLAST, and 100,000 regular points = 65 BLAST, so how much is BLAST worth?

Comparing FDV with the top L2, we can see that if BLAST is superior to its competitors at a $10 billion FDV, the price of a single token will be $0.1.

Arbitrum is the largest L2, with the highest TVL and FDV. If BLAST's FDV is the same, the price of a single token will be $0.083.

OP follows closely, with a $7.6 billion FDV, not $678 million TVL, so if BLAST's FDV is the same, the price of a single token will be $0.076.

BLAST gold point airdrop price estimate

Optimistic: 100 gold points = $700

Moderate: 100 gold points = $350

Pessimistic: 100 gold points = $140

Optimistic: 10 million regular points = $650

Moderate: 100 gold points = $325

Pessimistic: 100 gold points = $130

Remember, this is just for fun, and we are iterating scenarios based on guesswork.

1. We are not sure of the total supply of gold.
2. We do not know how the market will price its competition.
3. We do not know if there is a relationship between the two.

This is my view on the airdrop.

Overall (excluding uncertain market conditions), I think this has been executed very well. Let's not talk about witches. Even smaller wallets and users have received gold points.

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