[Probability of CLARITY Act Passing This Year Drops to 13%, Procedural Senate Vote Scheduled for September 15] Odaily Planet Daily reports that prediction market platform Polymarket indicates the implied probability of the CLARITY Act passing and becoming law by 2026 is 13%, with related contract trading volume around $11.5 million, a significant drop from the 82% market pricing in February. The U.S. Senate plans to hold a procedural vote on the bill on September 15, with the motion to end debate initiated by Majority Leader John Thune, typically requiring 60 votes. Prediction market platform Kalshi estimates a 91% probability of a Senate vote occurring before October 1, with related market trading volume exceeding $1.25 million. The CLARITY Act aims to establish a federal regulatory framework for the crypto market, granting exclusive oversight of the spot digital commodity market to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and assigning the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) responsibility for certain securities issuance and exchange activities. The bill still faces conflicts between officials and crypto industry interests, as well as disagreements over stablecoin yields, protections for decentralized finance, and non-custodial software developers. (Bitcoin.com News)