Murphy|7月 21, 2026 06:44
On the night of June 28, stargazing revealed two mystical predictions:
1. The probability of hitting $50,000 before 7/23 is low;
2. Before 7/23, there might be a weak rebound, possibly not exceeding around 6.9-7w.
Prediction '1' has basically come true—it's almost impossible for BTC to drop to 5w in the next two days. As for '2,' we’ve seen a weak rebound, but it’s still a bit short of 69. Time is running out though...
If we go by the traditional cycle timing, after 7/23 or 8/23, the overall MVRV trend is downward. In other words, as long as we can 'sideways' through this cycle, it’s a win. The ultimate answer is coming soon!
Suddenly remembered an article I read as a kid:
The brave seagull, soaring proudly over the raging sea, amidst the lightning; it’s the prophet of victory shouting: Let the storm rage even fiercer! — Gorky
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