[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 97%] Jin10 Data reported on June 8: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 97%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by July is 81.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 15.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 2.5%.