Phyrex|4月 05, 2026 13:08
Honestly, data is almost never going to help you buy at the lowest point or sell at the highest point. No matter how good the data is, it’s hard to achieve that. But looking at data helps you better understand things like chip distribution, capital flow, investor sentiment, and market consensus.
That said, all this data might not be as impactful as Trump saying he’s going to raise tariffs by 200% or announcing who he’s planning to attack tomorrow. No data can predict the actions of those in power, and the rules of this world are often dictated by those in charge. You could even say that those in power are the biggest “insider traders.”
I remember there was a prediction market betting on how many tweets Trump would post in a day. For others, this might be hard to guess, but for Trump, he’s always going to win—it’s just a matter of whether he feels like participating.
So even if you analyze thousands of Trump’s data points, it’s almost impossible to be as accurate as Trump himself. That’s how data works. When there’s no major shift in the big picture, data is effective at reflecting trends. But when an emergency disrupts the original trend, the data becomes completely useless.
Right now, what we can see from the data is very clear: most investors are highly interested in $BTC below $70,000 and have been buying in. That’s a fact. But if World War III breaks out tomorrow, the entire trend could collapse, and those high-net-worth investors who are buying in now might immediately start selling instead.
So, data is more of a tool to assist in making trading decisions, but the ultimate decision-maker is still yourself. If you knew tomorrow was the last day on Earth, then it wouldn’t matter what you bought. But if you believe that geopolitical conflicts won’t have a huge impact and things will eventually recover, then maybe you’d also think $BTC under $70,000 is a pretty good deal.
I believe even high-net-worth investors buying Bitcoin are doing so in small amounts each time, rather than going ALL IN at once.
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