📉FED CHAIR DECISION WATCH Kevin Warsh Confirmation Odds: By May 1, 2026 → 37% By June 1, 2026 → 78% By Aug 1, 2026 → 83% Key Context: If Warsh isn’t confirmed by May 15, 2026, Jerome Powell stays on as Fed Chair in a holdover role until a successor is approved. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedchairconfirmed/will-trumps-fed-chair-pick-be-confirmed/kxfedchairconfirmed?utm_source=walterbloomberg(*Walter Bloomberg)