Dou|Feb 05, 2026 04:52
Not pushing anymore is because it's resting. In a bear market, there's nothing to talk about except resting.
When will I copy the bottom of a private chat with a friend
Through retrospective analysis, it can be seen that often at the end of the first year of a bear market, there will be a gold bottom for the entire new cycle.
There may be reasons for this
1: At the end of the bull market, many large investors and institutions had leverage and did not have time to close their positions. In addition, many people believed that it was only a temporary pullback and continued to buy at the bottom. In the first year of the bear market, with continuous new lows, the leverage was constantly forced to level, and the market entered a period of buying and selling
2: At the end of the first year, due to the poor performance of the cryptocurrency market in the past year, many institutions had to hand over tasks to investors and sell their positions for cash. This was also a period of intense institutional turbulence
3: The market keeps hitting new lows, institutional investors are constantly being forced to level off, black swans occur frequently, and by the end of the year, market confidence has also dropped to freezing point, with buying power disappearing completely
This is the situation that occurred in the first two cycles, and now that the market is becoming more mature and there are more and more professional players, I personally believe that the market trend in the new cycle will accelerate, and the gold bottom may appear earlier in the second half of the year.
My current plan is to control my hands and wait patiently for the big black swan to plug in or for time to change space and wait for a good location
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