[Federal Reserve October Rate Hike Expectation Rises to 52.9%, Probability of Rate Hike by Year-End Reaches 94.3%] CME data shows that the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in October has risen to 52.9%, with the probability of at least one rate hike by year-end reaching 94.3%. Among these, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point hike is 42%. (Source: Jinshi)