彼得兔
彼得兔|Oct 12, 2026 13:24
Why is CRCL expected to sprint towards a market value of billions after the adjustment is completed? As shown in Figure 1, we mentioned at the end of April that CRCL's buying points would appear in the third and fourth quarters. After CRCL broke through 136.65 in May, I would like to remind everyone that this is not a new uptrend but a bullish trap. Because 145 has not broken through, the major pullback trend will not change. Subsequently, CRCL fell by 58%, with the lowest point of 57.84 falling on August 3rd in the third quarter. The decline of CRCL since 289.99 may end at 57.84, which is a monthly level decline. As long as it does not fall below 67 in the future, it will not disrupt the overall structure of CRCL. Therefore, after the subsequent verification of the monthly decline, there will be a monthly level increase. So we bought CRCL in batches at 80, 60, 81, and 91, and as shown in Figure 3, we optimized the cost twice through the "94 sell, 81 suck" band operation. Of course, the core position will be held until the CRCL market value exceeds 100 billion, which is not difficult and may only be the first target position. Perhaps it will take some time, but we don't lack patience, do we? To understand why CRCL has the potential to have a market value of billions, it is necessary to first understand the underlying logic that may drive it out of the trend upward trend: BTC ends its adjustment and enters the next round of trend upward trend → the activity of the cryptocurrency market increases → the demand for stablecoins expands → traditional assets such as the US stock market accelerate their listing → the usage scenarios of USDC increase → Circle's revenue and valuation grow synchronously. This is consistent with the logic mentioned in yesterday's video that some altcoins will start synchronously with the next wave of BTC's rise - whoever can continue to make money in the next stage will have more potential for growth. Circle has launched the Arc public chain, attempting to expand its business from simply issuing stablecoins to the entire on chain financial ecosystem. Once the listing of the US stock market and RWA truly become the main narrative of this bull market, the first goal of a market value of billions will not be difficult to achieve. Technically speaking, if 57.84 is the endpoint of CRCL's monthly decline, then the red segment in Figure 2 represents the first wave of weekly rise. The blue segment of decline refers to its weekly level correction, which may be the entirety of the correction or only a part of it, depending on the breakthrough of the red pressure range 96.5-98 shown in the chart. If CRCL can quickly break through the pressure range in the near future, it can be assumed that the blue segment is the entire adjustment, which is a strong adjustment. The delay in breaking through the pressure range, or falling below 80.74 again without being able to recover, proves that the blue segment is only the first wave of correction. The rise from 78.88 is a rebound against the decline in the blue segment, and the correction will continue after the rebound ends. Nevertheless, the weekly level correction will eventually come to an end and may end during most of the time when it cannot be sustained. After that, there will be a new upward trend, with a strength exceeding the wave of 57.84-103.28.
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