defioasis.eth|10月 10, 2026 08:23
After the World Cup, the development direction of the top prediction market has gradually differentiated
Kalshi consolidates its advantages in off chain, compliance, and sports specialization, and continuously expands towards Perp DEX
Polymarket is promoting the sustainability of the US site and Perp DEX, but there has been a decrease in feedback and attention from the Web3 community
Predict Fun focuses on short-term fluctuations in the Crypto market and provides support for CEX event contracts
The first two feel that they are gradually moving away from Web3, and it goes without saying that Kalshi has always been centralized. Polymarket is all based on Web2's thinking; In addition, although both are doing Perp DEX, their goal is still to increase valuation and expand non forecasting business to maintain high valuations
Predict Fun's approach is more native, based on short-term fluctuations to continuously improve the depth of the sports, Esports, TradFi, and Asian markets
With the significant reduction in the holding time of Crypto users driven by Meme, this new trading form of short-term rise and fall/event contracts has the opportunity to gain more trading volume in the future. To some extent, betting on the valuation of Predict Fun is also a bet on this time slicing market
Whether it's the 5-minute or 15 minute up and down market, Polymarket users are all flowing towards Predict Fun: from only 2% of the user market share at the end of May, to now maintaining a 55% market share with Polymarket
In addition to the rise and fall of Crypto, Predict Fun is also focusing on developing the stock prediction market, becoming the first 15 minute stock prediction market to be launched online
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