Hupzy (Spot On Chain)|Oct 09, 2026 21:05
The US has lifted sanctions on Russian diesel exports, reopening a major supply channel that Western sanctions had curtailed. Zelensky called the decision "not fair and not honest," framing it as a gift to Putin.
๐๐๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ: This is a concrete ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐น๐-๐ฟ๐ฒ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ catalyst with a direct oil-to-inflation-to-rates-to-BTC transmission chain. New Russian diesel hitting an already softening distillate market puts downward pressure on crude benchmarks, while lower energy costs ease inflation expectations and support risk assets.
For BRENTOIL, added supply is ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ต โ watch for distillate crack spreads compressing as Russian volumes return. For BTC, the cross-asset read is constructive: lower oil reduces stagflation risk and softens rate expectations, though geopolitical reversal risk could flip the supply outlook quickly.
source: KobeissiLetter
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