星球日报|Oct 08, 2026 06:29
**[Polymarket "Probability of releasing the next Fable model (version 5.2 and above) before October 12 drops to 17%, down 31% in 24 hours"]**
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket releasing the next Fable model (version 5.2 and above) before October 12 has dropped to 17%, down 31% in 24 hours. If Anthropic publicly releases a model with the name or identifier containing "Fable" and a version number of 5.2 or above during the market creation period up to the specified date (Eastern Time), the outcome will settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No. Models such as Claude Fable 5.2, 5.3, 6 meet the criteria, while Fable 5.1 and other models without "Fable" do not qualify. Public release includes official launch, public testing, or opening registration for a rolling waitlist; closed testing and private access do not count. If the version name, placeholder text, or erroneous labeling appears only on the official website but the model is not actually made publicly available, it does not meet the criteria. Settlement is primarily based on Anthropic's official announcements and website information, supplemented by consistent reporting from credible media sources. Join the PPP signal push community to stay ahead and seize opportunities.
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