小龙先生|Oct 07, 2026 23:57
☀️ 3D Integrated Trading System | BTC Market Early Bus
----If there is a rebound, go short. The main theme is the bull market turning back and the decline bottoming out!
The current price is around 83300, and after falling below 85K, it is consolidating weakly. Can it continue to plummet in the future?
Let's first take a look at the multidimensional data situation of three-dimensional integration:
1. Long and short positions: Long positions can be wiped out, but short positions also lack sustainability.
The bulls were cleared and the bears did not fully attack. In the past 24 hours, positions exceeding $570 million have been forcefully liquidated, with long positions accounting for 92%.
The people who chased after him were buried again. But the short positions have not continued to increase, more like a 'harvest' rather than an 'attack'.
2. On chain data: Giant Whale is still withdrawing coins, and ETF funds are fluctuating.
The trend of giant whales depositing coins on the exchange has stopped since the end of August, and the 30 day moving average has remained negative. The biggest short-term selling source has indeed stalled.
But ETF funds flow out and in day by day, without forming a sustained direction.
3. Structural form: 83000 is the key defense line.
81700-83300 below is the largest short-term clearing cluster, and 82500 is the short-term support marked by Wintermute. Breaking below 83000, the next line of defense is around 81000.
The resistance of the upper rebound is at 84500 and 85000, which are also the best entry points for short selling. However, the price may not necessarily rebound to this point.
Xiaolong's core judgment:
Short term bearish, but the bearish sentiment is not as strong. After being liquidated, Duojun is temporarily unable to organize a counterattack, but Giant Whales are withdrawing coins, medium-sized Giant Whales are accumulating, and the supply side is tightening.
If 83000 holds, it may rebound to 84000-84500 first; If it falls below, look at 81500-82000.
If the price rebounds, go short decisively and lower the target price by 79K-80K. Don't expect the waterfall to plummet, because there are no major benefits.
The main rhythm for the subsequent fluctuation and decline of Bitcoin prices is the downward trend.
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