Coin Bureau|10月 07, 2026 03:21
Is AI heading for its own 2008?
Nearly half a TRILLION dollars of AI-related debt was sold by early September, DOUBLE 2025, Morgan Stanley estimates.
The latest borrower is Musk's SpaceX, which reportedly wants $40 BILLION for Nvidia chips.
All that borrowing is one of the forces pushing up bond yields, with the US 10-year hitting its highest since 2002 last week.
Here's who's been borrowing big this year:
Anthropic's Google chip deal: $60 BILLION
Amazon bonds: $54 BILLION
SpaceX chip deal: $40 BILLION (planned)
Apollo's June chip deal: $35 BILLION
Alphabet bonds: almost $32 BILLION
Oracle bonds: $25 BILLION
SpaceX bonds: $25 BILLION
Why some investors are nervous:
SpaceX's 2056 bonds already trade at about 85 cents on the dollar, with a yield premium similar to high-yield bonds
Nvidia may back up to 25% of chip value so its smaller customers can borrow more cheaply
In October 2007, the S&P 500 hit a record high, two months after credit markets froze.
It then fell 57% as the financial crisis hit.
On Tuesday, the S&P 500 closed at a record again.
Michael Burry, the Big Short investor who bet against housing before 2008, has warned that "off balance sheet liabilities today are putting both 2000 and 2008 to shame."
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