Short term holders lose money, I buy ": an extremely simple bull market strategy for adding positions In every bull market cycle since the birth of BTC, The most rewarding are often the patient long-term holders; On the contrary, those short-term traders who are busy trading in low-level candlesticks, In the end, it is easy to miss the trend and even become a sacrifice when rising. It's interesting that: The status of these 'offerings' can also serve as a basis for us to increase our storage. // The indicator in the attached image is' STH-NUPL ', which aims to evaluate the profit and loss status of short-term holders. The calculation method of NUPL is very simple, which is "RUP-RUL"; The RUP mentioned here is the one I often share with you, So far, the deviation from the top win rate of 100% in the RUP is also its: https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/1975013719634776177 If you are a new friend or don't know what RUP or RUL are, I have previously written detailed tutorials in the "On Chain Data School" series of articles, Friends in need can refer to the following link ： Market Barometer RUL (I) - Data Introduction&Bottom Search Application https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/1874672257362276464 Market Barometer RUL (II) - Strongest Top Signal&Detailed Analysis of Historical Cycle Top https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/1876502016740266199 // During the bull market phase (green area) ） Often it's not smooth sailing, But it is accompanied by many significant callbacks, among which, Often causing short-term holders (STH) to enter a loss making state (STH-NUPL<1). However, as shown in the attached figure: As long as STH experiences a loss during a bull market, it is an excellent opportunity to add positions in hindsight, Although the current occurrence time can be long or short, and the magnitude can be large or small, But as long as STH-NUPL<1 (the indicator itself shows a red state) ）， In the case where the bull market trend is still present, it is an excellent buying window. Going back to the present, let's assume that BTC has risen since late August, Regarded as the 'early stage of the cow' (https://((((((x.com))))/market_gegar/status/2091702058009420064), That's worth looking forward to: Since the establishment of the upward trend, STH-NUPL has never returned to the red state. In the past cycles, there have been countless callbacks that have resulted in STH-NUPL<1, If the current situation is really bullish, unless you believe that those STHs will always maintain a profitable state in the future, Otherwise, I believe that in the future, we still have a high probability of buying BTC with a high profit loss ratio Scientific Right Side Trading ": unwilling to accept it, and do not be at odds with money https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2093152234163015863 The question is: When the callback really occurs, will you be afraid to buy again? The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone // Related reading resources 87.4K Gravity Appears: Sharing of Four Small Level Trading Ideas for BTC https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2106923107726623081 'A touch of greenery': the budding external capital increment of BTC https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2105840654345818401 There are always some people who are afraid of heights: The second batch of cows' initial cash flow trend appears https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2102938528288329734