Bitcoin's unexpected move: A spike up to around 90K, grabbing market liquidity and liquidating shorts, followed by a pullback to above 7.7-7.5K. This scenario has a 20% probability. If the price can pull back to 70K, that would be the perfect bull market correction, but the probability is very low, only 5%. BTC is very likely to pull back. In a bull market, a pullback is priceless. Waiting is, in itself, a top-tier trading skill and the most valuable position.