Predicting the probability of $BTC reaching $100,000 this year has been quite volatile. The numbers feel like riding a roller coaster . September 16: 17% September 23: 46% September 28: 34% Today: 39% It's not a one-way climb. It's a back-and-forth tug-of-war. Prediction markets, are they really predicting, or just chasing highs and lows? I only use them as a reference, but I don’t blindly follow. Do you think the probabilities from prediction markets are reliable?