灯塔说|10月 02, 2026 03:21
Non-farm payrolls tonight! Market expects an increase of 90K, and I’m focusing on a release range of 80K–100K.
Reuters survey predicts 90K, Dow Jones survey says 84K, and this week’s ADP also came in at 90K. Compared to last month’s 162K, I’m leaning towards a cooling job market, but not to the point of stalling.
That said, a decline doesn’t automatically mean good news—markets have already been anticipating a drop.
Want to give $BTC and $ETH a boost for a rebound? If the numbers meet expectations, we’ll still need to watch wages: if hourly earnings MoM drop to 0.2% and the unemployment rate holds steady at 4.1%, I’d lean bullish on that combo.
So, if job numbers align with forecasts, wages might be the key to tonight’s surprise.
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