[The Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Rates Unchanged in October Rises to 75.1%] Jin10 Data reported on October 2: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in October is 75.1%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 24.9%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by December is 20.6%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike probability of 61.3% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike probability of 18.1%.