The impact of non-farm payroll data on BTC's direction might not be as significant as we imagine. Over the past 6 years, 79 non-farm payroll release days. BTC's average daily volatility was only 2.1%, not much different from usual. Out of those 79 times, 39 closed up, 40 closed down, the direction is almost a 50/50 split. The market is watching non-farm payroll data, waiting for direction, but six years of data says: it probably won't provide one. What you're betting on isn't the data. It's the market's reaction to the data.