Art of Speculation|Oct 01, 2026 06:56
TLT has closed below the lower Bollinger Band for 5 consecutive days, with trading volume continuing to surge. IV Rank (Implied Volatility Percentile) is off the charts, showing textbook-level signs of extreme bearish overcrowding and capitulation. Based on this, we can infer that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is also nearing a short-term peak. But honestly, high interest rates can't suppress companies with strong profitability, like big tech and semiconductors—it doesn't have much impact. So let's stay bullish! Holding onto the semiconductors and big tech we bought the dip on in mid-September!!
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