星球日报|Sep 30, 2026 12:40
[After PCE Data Release, Polymarket's Probability of 'Fed Raising Rates by 25 Basis Points in October' Drops to 32%, Down 10% in 1 Hour]
Monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool shows that after the release of the PCE data, the probability of 'Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in October' on Polymarket dropped to 32%, down 10% in 1 hour; the probability of no change rose to 69%, up 10% in 1 hour. The U.S. core PCE price index annual rate for August recorded 3%, slightly lower than the previous month, below market expectations, and hit a new low since February, with market expectations at 3.3%. Additionally, ADP employment growth exceeded expectations, and U.S. Treasury yields edged higher. Join the PPP signal push community to stay ahead and seize opportunities.
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