星球日报|Sep 30, 2026 11:36
[Probability of 'Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in October' Rises to 59% on Polymarket, Up 28% in 24 Hours]
Monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool shows that the probability of 'Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in October' on Polymarket has risen to 59%, up 28% in 24 hours; the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike has dropped to 42%, down 27% in 24 hours.
Today at 20:15 Beijing time, the U.S. September ADP employment data will be released first, followed by the August PCE data, which is a key focus for the Fed. The market expects core PCE year-over-year to remain at 3.3%.
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