"Three-in-One Trading System | BTC Evening Market Analysis (3/3): Structural Patterns and Core Judgments" --- PCE Data and Non-Farm Payrolls Determine Short-Term Direction Structural Pattern: Narrow fluctuations in the 82,500-84,500 range, converging and waiting for a breakout. BTC is currently hovering around 83,800, still moving within the 82,500-84,500 range. The rebound highs are getting lower, but the dips aren't too deep either. The daily chart is forming a converging triangle. This pattern suggests volatility is compressing, and a breakout is imminent. Tonight's PCE data is the catalyst. Xiao Long's Core Judgment: Tonight's PCE data is the dividing line for BTC's short-term price direction. - If the core PCE month-over-month confirms 0.3% or higher, expectations for an October rate hike will heat up further, and 82,500 is unlikely to hold, with a test of 80K-81K likely. - If the data comes in below 0.3%, there could be a brief rebound to 84,500-85,000, but the rebound will be limited since Friday's non-farm payrolls data is still waiting to "kick the door down." My judgment remains unchanged: the medium-to-short-term direction is most likely downward, with a pullback to 80K-81K being the highest probability scenario. But this is a healthy pullback in a bull market, not a bear market. A dip to 80K-81K is an opportunity to gradually buy in and catch the bottom.