qinbafrank|Sep 29, 2026 12:40
Two good news updates about oil prices tonight:
1. Qatar has announced that it is acting as a mediator between the U.S. and Iran, exploring potential solutions. Qatar's Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani publicly stated that indirect contacts during the UN General Assembly have achieved 'some positive progress.' Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi is still in New York and met with Qatar's mediators on September 28-29.
Qatar's role is classic shuttle diplomacy: engaging both sides separately, passing messages, and seeking common ground, rather than having the U.S. and Iran sit at the same table.
Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi expressed hope that the U.S.'s final response to the Hormuz Strait proposal could be conveyed through Qatar's intermediaries by Tuesday. This suggests that the door for diplomacy is not completely closed yet.
2. Beyond the Middle East, Trump is playing the Russia-Ukraine card. A U.S. official stated on Tuesday that Russian President Putin's envoy Dmitriev held 'constructive' talks with U.S. officials, discussing potential paths to end the Ukraine conflict and post-war energy cooperation initiatives between the U.S. and Russia.
According to The Atlantic, Trump's envoy for Eastern European affairs proposed a new plan to break the deadlock in U.S.-Russia relations: Russia would release some political prisoners, and the U.S. would ease economic sanctions on Russia in return. The discussions also touched on potential future commercial cooperation between the U.S. and Russia in oil, diesel, rare earth minerals, and other commodities.
With these updates, oil prices have eased, while long-term bond yields have also fallen, and U.S. stocks and crypto have seen slight gains.
The U.S.-Iran dynamic will be a key focus in the coming days. If further positive developments emerge, oil prices could drop further, macroeconomic tensions could ease, and the pressure on risk assets would significantly diminish.
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