This week shapes up to be a genuinely telling one, with the data pointing straight at the two variables that will define the Fed's next move: inflation and labor market strength. The RBA opens the week with its rate decision, but the real signal builds through Wednesday's PCE print and ADP report, and lands with Friday's jobs numbers. The Fed's picture is nearly complete once those numbers land. Here's what's ahead: 🇦🇺 RBA Interest Rate Decision (Sep) – Tue, Sep 29, 04:30 UTC 🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings (Aug) – Tue, Sep 29, 14:00 UTC 🇺🇸 CB Consumer Confidence (Sep) – Tue, Sep 29, 14:00 UTC 🇨🇳 Manufacturing PMI (Sep) – Wed, Sep 30, 01:30 UTC 🇬🇧 GDP QoQ & YoY (Q2) – Wed, Sep 30, 06:00 UTC 🇺🇸 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep) – Wed, Sep 30, 12:15 UTC 🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index MoM & YoY (Aug) – Wed, Sep 30, 12:30 UTC 🇺🇸 GDP QoQ (Q2) – Wed, Sep 30, 12:30 UTC 🇺🇸 Chicago PMI (Sep) – Wed, Sep 30, 13:45 UTC 🇪🇺 Unemployment Rate (Aug) – Thu, Oct 1, 09:00 UTC 🇺🇸 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) – Thu, Oct 1, 13:45 UTC 🇺🇸 ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep) – Thu, Oct 1, 14:00 UTC 🇪🇺 CPI projection (Sep) – Fri, Oct 2, 09:00 UTC 🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls & Unemployment (Sep) – Fri, Oct 2, 12:30 UTC 🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings MoM (Sep) – Fri, Oct 2, 12:30 UTC