陈桂林|Sep 28, 2026 01:16
BTC Killa's post reminded me of something—people always say 'this time is different,' but every time, it's the same.
However, this time really is different because the rhythm of $BTC in this bear market has indeed changed. Whether the drop from 126 to 57 was the entirety of the bear market or just the first part, the fact is, it only dropped 53%. So, we really need to think about the issue of volatility.
Here’s a short-term take:
1. I've mentioned this many times recently—$BTC is currently in the final phase of the first wave of an uptrend since 57, which is the 5th wave.
2. After the 5th wave, there will likely be a mild pullback, with the adjustment target most likely being the bottom of the 4th wave.
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