深潮TechFlow|Sep 27, 2026 04:12
[Nonfarm Payrolls and PCE Test Fed Rate Path, Trump Rejects Iran Ceasefire]
Deep Tide TechFlow reports: On September 27, according to Jin10 Data, this week's macro market focus is centered on expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate path. Currently, traders are betting that the probability of a rate hike in October has approached 70%. The upcoming release of new nonfarm payrolls data and the core PCE price index will be key indicators to verify the resilience of the U.S. economy and the trend of easing inflation, directly setting the tone for the pace of subsequent monetary policy.
On the geopolitical front, Trump has explicitly rejected Iran's ceasefire proposal, causing tensions in the Middle East to escalate once again. Although stakeholders in the Strait of Hormuz plan to reopen negotiations, core demand differences continue to add uncertainty to regional security.
Meanwhile, Federal Reserve officials are making frequent public statements to convey policy signals, the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate hike appears almost certain, and global liquidity expectations remain in a state of ongoing contention.
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