qinbafrank
qinbafrank|Sep 25, 2026 23:49
Looks like Microsoft is gearing up for another breakout. The last surge from late July to August was driven by the boom and revaluation of its cloud business, but this time it seems to be all about Agents. As Nadella said, it's the 'new operating system for work': integrating chat, coding, and long-running agents into a unified Copilot. It's got a bit of a 'Copilot super app' vibe. Of course, Microsoft has been working on Agents for a while, but this time they're officially elevating Agents to be the core product form of Copilot. They're consolidating scattered functionalities into a single entry point—Copilot is no longer just a chat box. 1) Previously, Agents were scattered across Studio, Cowork, Scout, and GitHub Copilot, and users had to piece them together themselves. 2) Now, Microsoft is transforming Copilot into a unified workbench for 'Chat + Tool Creation + Continuous Work,' directly competing with OpenAI and Anthropic, who are already building integrated apps for 'Chat + Code Writing + Long-Task Agents.' Nadella mentioned that Copilot will cover every model, every form, and every type of task. The goal is to make it the foundational layer of work systems. He also hinted that Autopilot will eventually roll out to consumers—starting with enterprises and then moving to the consumer market. This is essentially stacking three battles into one: 1) Battle One: The fight for the entry point OpenAI and Anthropic are bundling chat, code writing, and agents into a single app and selling it directly to Microsoft's core enterprise customers. If Microsoft continues to make users open a sidebar in Word, a coding assistant in GitHub, and an Agent in Studio, they'll lose the entry point. Microsoft's answer is to make Copilot itself the work OS. Office, GitHub tech, and Agent runtime will all feed into it. 2) Battle Two: Agents need to be layered, not just a one-size-fits-all robot Microsoft has essentially outlined three generations of products, but this time they're all wrapped in one package: - Conversational Agent: Chat - Task Agent: Cowork (start-to-finish tasks) - Role Agent: Autopilot (identity, memory, and continuous presence) - Agent/tool creators: Code + Copilot Studio + Managed Runtime In enterprise scenarios, you'll eventually see humans, one-off task bots, permanent digital colleagues, and internally generated mini-software coexisting. 3) Battle Three: Pricing shifts from 'per seat' to 'compute power' This aspect has been overshadowed by functionality but is actually more critical. - Seat fees (USL): Covering everyday Chat, as well as Copilot in Word, Excel, PowerPoint, Outlook, and Teams. - Usage-based (Copilot Credits): For Cowork, Code, Autopilot, and cutting-edge models like Astra and Fable. In simple terms, Microsoft is rolling out a runtime for Agents that can chat, create tools, and handle tasks for you, with Office becoming just one layer of the application stack.
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