小龙先生|9月 25, 2026 11:34
Three Dimensional Integrated Trading System | BTC Evening Latest Market (1/3): Volume and Energy
——Short positions may not be strong or sustainable, making it difficult to experience a significant drop!
Quantitative structure: The long and short positions are evenly matched, but the downward momentum is significantly weakened.
BTC's current price is around 85K, and it has continued to rebound after stabilizing from a double bottom of 82875. The current four hour long and short positions are relatively weak, and neither side has an overwhelming advantage. They are in a state of equal strength, it depends on who starts first!
However, there is a key change: the power of bears is diminishing.
The long short ratio of large holdings decreased from 2.01 to 1.86, falling below 1.9 for the first time since September. The capital rate has changed from positive to -0.0005%, indicating that long positions are no longer crowded and the pressure of holding costs is decreasing.
The active buying to selling ratio has rebounded from 0.75 to 1.00-1.05, indicating a return in buying activity.
In terms of bulls: passive defense, but selling pressure is decreasing.
The liquidation scale of long positions in the past 24 hours is still larger than that of short positions, and the crowding of long positions is decreasing. 82875 has not been broken in two tests, forming a short-term double bottom, with buying taking over at low levels.
Quantitative judgment: Both long and short can be weak, evenly matched. But the long short ratio of large holders has dropped to 1.86, the funding rate has turned negative, and the option expiration has passed: three suppressing factors are being lifted. The quantitative energy structure has shifted from 'short dominance' to 'long short equilibrium'.
It is difficult for prices to fall sharply, and a breakthrough requires new volume push. Short term fluctuations have narrowed, and there is a strong bullish trend in the medium to long term!
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